econ.GN · 2026-09-03 · No. 104

General Economics, 2026-09-03.

1 new papers in econ.GN. Titles, authors, abstracts. Links to arXiv. Want this in your inbox every morning? Subscribe →

01 — The papers

1 entries
  1. 01

    Dutch Books for Language Models

    Isaiah Andrews, Suproteem Sarkar

    econ.GN · cs.AI · cs.CL · cs.LG

    People increasingly use language models to support life decisions. Many such decisions involve a probabilistic forecast: How likely is a major life event, a natural disaster, or an economic outcome? Users of language models may implicitly trust that these forecasts fall out of a coherent world model. In this paper, we evaluate the coherence of language model probabilistic forecasts through a procedure that builds on a theorem due to de...

    arxiv.org/abs/2609.02797 · PDF

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