econ.TH · 2026-05-27 · No. 10

Theoretical Economics, 2026-05-27.

1 new papers in econ.TH. Titles, authors, abstracts. Links to arXiv. Want this in your inbox every morning? Subscribe →

01 — The papers

1 entries
  1. 01

    Proper Calibeating

    Dean P. Foster, Sergiu Hart

    econ.TH · cs.LG · stat.ML

    The classic concept of "calibrated forecasts" and its more recent refinement, "calibeating," are defined with respect to the standard quadratic scoring rule. We extend these notions to the class of $\textit{proper}$ scoring rules (for which the best forecast is the true distribution) and define $\textit{proper-calibration}$ and $\textit{proper-calibeating}$ by requiring the errors to converge to zero uniformly over all bounded proper scoring...

    arxiv.org/abs/2605.26703 · PDF

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