physics.ao-ph · 2026-07-07 · No. 46

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 2026-07-07.

1 new papers in physics.ao-ph. Titles, authors, abstracts. Links to arXiv. Want this in your inbox every morning? Subscribe →

01 — The papers

1 entries
  1. 01

    AIFS-SUBS: Extending Data-Driven Forecasting to Sub-Seasonal Timescales

    Jakob Schloer, Steffen Tietsche, Christopher D. Roberts, Lorenzo Zampieri, Simon Lang, Gert Mertes, Gareth Jones,...

    physics.ao-ph · cs.AI

    Data-driven models now rival numerical weather prediction in the medium range, but extending them to sub-seasonal lead times raises challenges absent at shorter horizons. Errors accumulate over long autoregressive rollouts, systematic biases grow with lead time, and several years of data must be held out for independent verification, even though machine-learning models otherwise benefit from longer training records. To address these...

    arxiv.org/abs/2607.05100 · PDF

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