stat.ME · 2026-08-21 · No. 91
Methodology, 2026-08-21.
3 new papers in stat.ME. Titles, authors,
abstracts. Links to arXiv. Want this in your inbox every morning? Subscribe →
01 — The papers
3 entries-
01
Multi-Method Causal Evidence Synthesis: Ranking Candidate Drivers by Convergent Cross-Method Evidence from Observational Data
Manish Gupta, Dipanjan De
stat.ME · cs.AI
Practitioners inferring causality from observational data usually rely on a single method and treat its output as causal truth. Recent tools select an optimal method for a dataset, and recent ensembles aggregate multiple causal-discovery algorithms into one graph, but little work pools evidence across different mathematical traditions, including non-causal ones. We present Multi-Method Causal Evidence Synthesis (MCES), a framework that ranks...
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02
Where Does the Union Bound Go? Best-Arm Identification and Strong FWER Control
Rianne de Heide
stat.ME · cs.LG · stat.ML
In fixed-confidence best-arm identification, proofs often use a union bound across the competing arms. From a multiple-testing point of view this can look puzzling: if the best arm is unique, only one hypothesis of the form ``arm $i$ is best'' can be true. Why then should there be a Bonferroni-type factor of $K-1$? The answer is that there are two natural ways to orient the hypotheses. In one orientation, best-arm identification is literally...
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03
A Repeated Measurements Approach to $SoH$ Battery Modelling of Cyclic Aged Data in a Laboratory Environment
Mark Cary, Charles Bokor
stat.ME · cs.LG · eess.SY
This document describes the application of a first order linearised nonlinear repeated measurements approach to the analysis of battery cell ageing profiles generated under controlled conditions in a laboratory. The primary advantage of the model is it reflects the obvious structure in the data. Consequently, it is a two-component of variance model: variation within ageing profiles (measurement noise) and variation among ageing profiles...
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